Just like in 2009, "with Brent for prompt delivery dropping sharply versus later contracts in the past week, traders are increasingly requesting to lease vessels for storage."
The spread between buying now and selling later means that "the current contango on the ICE Brent market would already be sufficient to make floating storage viable based on average 2014 freight rates," JBC Energy said in a note. Analysts at JBC Energy expect 30-60 million barrels of oil to be stored offshore worldwide in the first six months of 2015.
And while it may not be anywhere close to the massive curve dislocation from early 2009, Brent for February delivery is currently close to $3.95 cheaper than for delivery five months later, the widest gap since 2010. And yet, so far in 2014 "only a few tankers have stored oil at sea as the discount for the front month crude futures has been insufficient to finance chartering. Ship owners have also been resisting calls to lease out vessels for oil storage given a seasonal hike in freight rates."
However, as day rates drop, ship owners will be compelled to lock in deals to allow charterers to store crude for months, industry sources said.
"Moving into the first quarter of 2015, freight rates are likely to correct downwards, opening up floating storage opportunities," JBC Energy said.